Finance · Valuation

Samso Managed Services · Last Updated · Apr 2026

Valuation Model · DCF & Comps

An institutional-grade valuation pack - DCF on two terminal-value methods, trading comps, precedent transactions, and a 52-week reference - assembled into a football field that converges to a defensible implied equity value per share.

What the managed workflow does

Builds the DCF cleanly

Driver-based forecast feeds an unlevered FCF schedule. Two terminal methods - Gordon growth and exit multiple - share the same operating assumptions.

Pulls live comps + transactions

A curated comp set refreshed against market data; precedents pulled from disclosed deals over the last 36 months. Outliers flagged, not silently dropped.

Sensitizes the answer

Two-way sensitivity tables on WACC × growth and exit multiple × forecast EBITDA. Tornado bars rank the levers that move equity value most.

Resolves to one chart

Every methodology maps onto the football field at the same $/share scale, so the answer is a range - not a number - and the source of every endpoint is one click away.

Implied equity value · $ / share football field

6 Methodologies · Implied $42/Share · As of Apr 2026

Method rangeImplied equity / share$24–$60/SHARE · 6 METHODS
$25$30$35$40$45$50$55$60$ / SHAREIMPLIED · $42DCF - Perpetuity GrowthWACC 11% · g 2.5%$32$48DCF - Exit Multiple8.0× LTM EBITDA exit$36$54Comps - EV / Revenue5.0× – 9.0× NTM revenue$28$46Comps - EV / EBITDA7.0× – 11.0× NTM EBITDA$34$52Precedent Transactions8 deals · last 36 months$40$5852-Week Trading RangeLow Aug · High Mar$26$44

Methodologies in this field

Income approach (DCF × 2)Market approach (Comps × 2)Transaction approach52-week reference range

Cross-checked against

Implied $/share lineLive trading comps setInternal forecast packSensitivity tornado

Inputs to the model

  • Operating forecast. Bottoms-up revenue, gross margin, opex, working capital, and capex tied to the same plan finance owns.

  • Capital structure. Debt schedule, cost of debt, tax rate, target leverage - all read from the cap table and credit agreements.

  • Comp set & precedents. Curated public comps with size/growth/margin filters; precedent transactions matched on industry and stage.

  • Discount-rate build. WACC computed from CAPM with stable beta sourcing, peer median capital structure, and current risk-free.

Outputs you can defend

  • Football field. Range chart with every method on one $/share scale, plus the implied value line.

  • Two-way sensitivities. WACC × g and exit multiple × terminal EBITDA grids attached to each DCF case.

  • Scenario stack. Base / bull / bear cases sharing assumptions - flip one input and three football fields update consistently.

  • Source-trace per number. Every endpoint on the field links to its formula, comp ticker, or transaction record.

What you get, every week

A defensible range

Not a single point estimate - a range from six methods with a clear implied value line and every assumption sourced.

A live workbook

Excel/Google file with linked tabs (Forecast, DCF, Comps, Precedents, Sensitivities, Football Field) and a one-click refresh.

Board-ready summary

One-page memo with the field, the implied value, the bridge from EV to equity, and the three biggest swing factors.

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